The Situationist

Archive for January 23rd, 2007

Captured Science

Posted by Jon Hanson on January 23, 2007

thank-you-for-smoing.jpgIt’s widely accepted that a few industries have had an immense and deleterious influence over the “science” that regulators and consumers rely on to assess those industries’ products. Big Tobacco’s success in fomenting doubt and controversy, subsidizing friendly projects and scientists, and intimidating those who would disagree is the most notorious example. It’s the stuff of countless books and numerous movies. But the cigarette industry’s infamy poses a problem; it now stands as the great exception and not the great exemplar. “Yes, yes, Big Tobacco was evil, but we all know that. The bad apple has been removed from the barrel. Now how ’bout those Red Sox.”

big-pharma.jpgUnfortunately, what seems like the exception should be seen as the rule. The practices that the tobacco industry honed throughout the second half of the twentieth century are playbook favorites among the strategists, public relations experts, marketers, and lobbyists of any industry whose product is potentially dangerous to individuals or the planet.

If you are dubious, ask yourself why that wouldn’t be true? If the strategies worked for the cigarette — a product that is causally linked to more than 400,000 deaths per year in this county alone — why wouldn’t they be effective for other products. The presumption should be that the profit-maximizing suppliers of potentially dangerous products will adopt the tricks of the tobacco trade, and institutional and legal policies should be built on that presumption. And that’s true not just of the big-bad wolf industries – such as firearms, alcohol, and tobacco – but even of industries whose products are potentially life-sustaining or life-saving – such as food and pharmaceuticals.

This week, two reports were published, piling on additional evidence of the science-skewing situational effects of industry.

First, the Union of Concerned Scientists published “Smoke, Mirrors & Hot Air: How ExxonMobil Uses Big Tobacco’s Tactics to Manufacture Uncertainty on Climate Science.” The title of the sixty-three page exposé tells you much of what you need to know about its contents and tone. Though strident at times, the brief does a nice job of illustrating how a mere $16 million dollars went a long way toward buying time and buying cover.mojo-image.jpeg

That report is just the tip of the shrinking iceberg when it comes to such critiques of ExxonMobil. This summer, for instance, Mother Jones published a series of articles under the title “As the World Burns.” And the Sierra Club has a webpage devoted to “Exxpos[ing] Exxon,” on which you can view, exxonsecrets.gifamong other things, an animated movie, Toast the Earth, “a sad but humorous satire on Exxon and it’s science-bending, profiteering ways.” Meanwhile, Greenpeace has a webpage, ExxonSecrets.org, which ingeniously maps “howExxonMobile funds the climate control skeptics” at think tanks and various front groups.

The second report this week, titled “Relationship between Funding Source and Conclusion among Nutrition-Related Scientific Articles,” is more scholarly in form and tenor than any of those. But the takeaway message is roughly the same: Industry investments in scientific debates are, from their perspective, dollars well spent.

A group of researchers from Children’s Hospital in Boston looked at the effects of research funding by the beverage industry – including soft drinks, juice and milk. The scientists gathered 206 relevant articles published between 1999 and 2003. With thatchildrens-hospita.gif sample, investigators, who did not know the articles’ authors, place of publication, or financial sponsorship classified each article’s conclusions as “favorable,” “neutral” or “unfavorable.” Meanwhile, another investigator who was not told of those assessments determined the funding source (22% were funded entirely by industry, 47% had no industry funding, and 32% had mixed funding) and classified articles as to whether a favorable finding would be beneficial, negative or neutral to its funder’s financial interests.

“The main finding of this study is that scientific articles about commonly consumed beverages funded entirely by industry were approximately four to eight times more likely to be favorable to the financial interests of the sponsors than articles without industry-related funding. . . . Our study also documented industry sponsorship was very common during the study period, indicating considerable potential for introduction of bias into the biomedical literature. In view of the high consumption rates of these beverages, especially among children, the public health implications of this bias could be substantial.”

When asked about sources of bias, Dr. David S. Ludwig, one of the study’s authors, indicated that the biases likely reflected subtle manipulations in the way the questions were framed or selection biases in which scientists were funded or which studies were david-ludwig.jpgpublished. Note that none of those sources likely involve scientists who are consciously biased or intentionally manipulating their data.

Still, consequences of the bias may be quite serious given that the role played by that literature in shaping governmental and professional dietary guidelines, the design of intervention programs, and FDA regulation of health claims on foods and beverages, and eventually “common-sense” perceptions of consumers.

According to the New York Times, Susan Neely, the President of The American Beverage Association, points her finger back at the study’s authors: “This isusan-neely.jpgs yet another attack on the industry by activists who demonstrate their own biases in their review by looking only at the funding sources and not judging the research on its merits.”

Similarly, Richard A. Forshee, a scholar whose research had been sponsored by the food industry reacted to the study with this assurance: “My co-authors and I rely heavily on scientific method in order to make sure we do not have bias in our studies.”

Of course, looking at the merits of an individual article or relying solely on the filter of “the scientific method” in a single study misses the point; the question is whether there exists a bias in the situation of science, not the the disposition of individual scientists or their studies. Taken alone, a bias can be extremely difficult to identify even by a study’s authors. How, for example, can one reliably identify the subtle consequences of seemingly trivial framing effects, unless one can test and re-test numerous alternative frames? And, of course, testing and re-testing requires funding . . . .

Posted in Deep Capture | 3 Comments »

Accidentally Us

Posted by Jon Hanson on January 23, 2007

david-linden.jpgIn March, Harvard University/Belknap Press will release David Linden’s new book, The Accidental Mind: How Brain Evolution Has Given Us Love, Memory, Dreams, and God. Linden is a professor of neuroscience at John Hopkins University and has been studying and writing about neural function for many years.

His new book promises to reveal how, contrary to popular opinion, “the brain is not an optimized, general-purpose problem-solving machine, but rather a weird agglomeration of ad-hoc solutions that have been piled on through millions of years of evolutionary history” and, in turn how this evolved, path-dependent collection of quirks we know as the brain “have ultimately led to almost every transcendent human foible.

In a promotional interview, Linden had this to say about the inaccuracy of our self-perceptions:

In everyday life we behave with the implicit assumption that our sensory information is “raw data” and, if necessary, we can evaluate this datathe-accidental-mind.jpg dispassionately and, only then, make decisions and plan actions based upon it. This feeling that we have about our senses, that they are trustoworthy and independent reporters, while overwhelming and pervasive, is simply not true. Our senses are not built to give us an accurate picture of the extenal world at all. Rather, they have been designed to exaggerate certain features and aspects of the sensory world and to ignore others. Your brain then blends this whole sensory stew together with emotion to create a seamless ongoing story of experience that makes sense. We cannot experience the world in a purely sensory fashion, because by the time we are aware of sensory information, it’s already been filtered, molded, and deeply intertwined with emotions and plans for action.

It’s another version of the same message that again and again social psychology and the mind sciences are providing us: We are not who we perceive ourselves to be. That gap between perception and reality is precisely the gap that the neo-realists or situationists hope to bridge.

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